|
InsideOut at City Hall
by Annise D. Parker
BUDGET BUSTER
The city confronts the pension-fund debacle
in a May 15 vote
The upcoming city budget will be the toughest
balancing act since the 1986 oil bust.
Fixed expenses will jump $156 million, but revenues
are expected to climb only about $43 million.
Like many cities, Houston faces steep increases
in employee health insurance premiums—26
million more next year. We’ll also pay
$50 million more to police officers for raises
promised in their contract.
Sales tax revenue, which accounts for about
25 percent of the general fund budget, is finally
beginning to inch up again after dropping or
staying flat for two years. The recession even
slowed property tax collections, which make up
about 45 percent of the general budget.
Then there’s the pension fund shortfall
you may have read about. That will account for
almost $58 million of the increase.
The pension fund crisis isn’t just an
esoteric issue affecting only city employees.
It could affect the level of city services and
has certainly precipitated a crisis in public
confidence. Everywhere I go, astonished voters
ask how this happened and what the city is going
to do about it.
May 15 election
One immediate solution is the May 15 election.
Houston voters will be asked to opt out of Proposition
15, the recently approved state constitutional
amendment that prohibits cities from reducing
or impairing any pension benefit already earned
by someone vested in a municipal pension. If
Proposition 15 is allowed to stand, the city
will be limited in its ability to negotiate changes
that could help reduce the unfunded pension liability.
I hope community organizations study the issue
and recommend that people vote to allow the city
to opt out.
Public and private entities all across the country
face staggering pension problems, mostly due
to the drop in the stock market and the recession.
The city of El Paso’s pension fund faces
a $440 million gap while Dallas is $2 billion
short. Many private pension plans have already
asked for a federal bailout or have sought bankruptcy.
Of the city’s three pension plans, the
municipal pension system has by far the largest
projected shortfall, ranging from $1.5 billion
to $2.8 billion over the next 18 years. This
covers about 12,000 civilian employees. The police
pension system may fall about $500 million short,
while the Firefighters Relief Fund is essentially
fully funded and may be less than $50 million
in the hole.
Yes, we’ve got a serious problem. But
it’s the result of the age and demographics
of the municipal workforce converging with changes
on Wall Street and in Austin. The dilemma is
complicated by the fact that we’re trying
to predict what may or may not happen two or
three decades down the road. No one knows for
sure at what age an employee will retire or what
kind of returns we can expect from our investments
in 2020. It’s all imaginary numbers.
How it happened
Since city employees make about one-third less
than their private sector counterparts and are
lucky to get a raise every three or four years,
the city has tried to compensate by offering
better pensions. The state legislature controls
pension benefits for Texas cities. In 2001, the
legislature dramatically increased Plan A benefits
by raising the 25-year pension from 80 percent
to 90 percent of salaries. The state also pays
its employees less but puts more money into pensions.
Like previous pension changes, these occurred
in Austin. City Council did not vote to increase
pension benefits. We did, of course, know about
the legislation.
In 2001, the Municipal Pension Fund’s
actuarial firm, Towers Perrin, estimated that
14 percent of the city’s annual payroll
would be needed to cover pension obligations.
We thought we could afford the more generous
pension benefits being discussed in Austin.
In 2003, a new Towers Perrin report predicted
pension obligations would eat up more than 40
percent of the city’s annual payroll. What
happened between 2001 and 2003? Many of you with
mutual funds and 401k’s know the answer.
The stock market tanked.
The way out
Change the actuary period. This would have a
huge impact. The current estimates are based
on a fixed actuary period that will expire in
18 years. A rolling 30-year actuary period would
allow us to spread out the unfunded liability.
Issue pension obligation bonds. This would be
like using your credit card to pay your mortgage.
It’s not a good idea, but we may have to
consider it.
Change pension benefits. Employee payroll contributions
likely will be increased. New hires and employees
who are not yet vested may well be offered an
entirely different plan. I envision a defined
contribution plan instead of the current defined
benefit plan. A defined contribution plan is
similar to a 401k. Each year the city would contribute
a specific amount of money on an employee’s
behalf. The employee would also contribute. Upon
retirement, the employee would receive only the
money in the account as opposed to a specified
percentage of his or her salary.
Establish a city controller seat on the pension
board. This would fit perfectly with the controller’s
responsibility as the city’s financial
watchdog and would bring some independent oversight
to the pension fund’s investing policies.
There would be no conflict of interest because
I have no vote at the council table. Either the
controller or a designee could serve.
The city has a chance to begin bailing out the
ship May 15. Please don’t forget to vote.
***
My Municipal Channel TV show, Money Matters,
can be seen every Monday on the Municipal Channel
(Warner Cable 16) at 2 and 8 a.m. and 2 and 8
p.m.
Annise Parker is city controller and the highest-ranking
openly GLBT elected official in any of the 10
largest U.S. cities. She has contributed a monthly
column to OutSmart since June 2002. The controller’s
website is www.ci.houston.tx.us/citygovt/controller.
To receive her newsletter, send an email to controllers@cityofhouston.net.
If you have any comments about this article,
please email them to letters@outsmartmagazine.com.
|